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Red317
130763.5
21391.3
230104.1
Blue280
15564.1
23752.7
320576.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2771860100400500317280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#8
104.11.5
101.2102.7
Auto16.2
Teleop45.9
End42.0
red by 27.8
3205
#21
76.41.5
74.976.4
Auto8.2
Teleop29.1
End39.0
Second
213
#4
91.31.5
88.489.9
Auto8.3
Teleop36.8
End46.2
red by 27.2
155
#24
64.11.5
62.764.1
Auto6.9
Teleop35.4
End21.9
Third
1307
#16
63.51.5
60.662.1
Auto7.2
Teleop33.9
End22.4
red by 10.9
237
#7
52.71.5
51.252.7
Auto8.4
Teleop31.0
End13.2