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Red290
556342.1
2168102.8
8886.8
Blue260
416972.7
415171.4
417654.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2472000100300400500290260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102.81.3
101.6102.8
Auto7.6
Teleop55.4
End39.8
red by 30.2
4169
#31
72.71.0
71.772.7
Auto7.4
Teleop33.0
End32.3
Second
88
#16
86.81.3
85.686.8
Auto6.6
Teleop31.3
End49.0
red by 15.4
71.40.9
70.571.4
Auto9.1
Teleop26.8
End35.5
Third
5563
#36
42.11.3
40.842.1
Auto6.2
Teleop24.5
End11.5
blue by 12.4
4176
#19
54.50.9
53.654.5
Auto11.6
Teleop39.6
End3.2