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Red305
556342.1
2168102.8
8886.8
Blue205
416972.7
415171.4
417654.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2402000100300400500305205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102.81.8
99.7101.6
Auto7.6
Teleop55.4
End39.8
red by 30.2
4169
#31
72.70.2
71.571.7
Auto7.4
Teleop33.0
End32.3
Second
88
#16
86.81.8
83.785.6
Auto6.6
Teleop31.3
End49.0
red by 15.4
71.40.2
70.370.5
Auto9.1
Teleop26.8
End35.5
Third
5563
#36
42.11.8
39.040.8
Auto6.2
Teleop24.5
End11.5
blue by 12.4
4176
#19
54.50.2
53.453.6
Auto11.6
Teleop39.6
End3.2