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Red245
417654.5
415171.4
416972.7
Blue235
192295.7
500072.9
584655.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1732460100200300400500245235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4169
#31
72.71.0
63.964.9
Auto7.4
Teleop33.0
End32.3
blue by 23.0
1922
#15
95.70.3
95.595.7
Auto8.5
Teleop36.8
End50.5
Second
71.40.9
63.564.4
Auto9.1
Teleop26.8
End35.5
blue by 1.5
72.90.3
72.672.9
Auto4.8
Teleop32.6
End35.5
Third
4176
#19
54.50.9
46.647.5
Auto11.6
Teleop39.6
End3.2
blue by 0.8
5846
#12
55.20.3
55.055.2
Auto5.8
Teleop24.3
End25.2