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Red305
417654.5
415171.4
416972.7
Blue165
192295.7
500072.9
176128.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1662170100300400305165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4169
#31
72.73.5
60.463.9
Auto7.4
Teleop33.0
End32.3
blue by 23.0
1922
#15
95.70.8
96.295.5
Auto8.5
Teleop36.8
End50.5
Second
71.43.1
60.463.5
Auto9.1
Teleop26.8
End35.5
blue by 1.5
72.90.8
73.472.6
Auto4.8
Teleop32.6
End35.5
Third
4176
#19
54.53.1
43.546.6
Auto11.6
Teleop39.6
End3.2
red by 25.6
1761
#37
28.90.8
29.728.9
Auto8.3
Teleop11.4
End9.2