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Red255
356670.8
12188.0
476185.4
Blue270
320578.3
175768.4
575274.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2672100100300400500600255270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121
#2
88.00.2
88.088.3
Auto11.8
Teleop37.8
End38.5
red by 9.7
3205
#10
78.30.8
73.674.5
Auto8.3
Teleop27.0
End43.0
Second
85.40.2
85.385.6
Auto11.1
Teleop38.1
End36.2
red by 11.1
5752
#27
74.20.8
69.670.4
Auto5.1
Teleop29.2
End39.9
Third
3566
#22
70.80.2
70.871.0
Auto5.9
Teleop30.1
End34.8
red by 2.4
68.40.8
63.764.5
Auto7.4
Teleop30.0
End31.0