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Red235
575274.2
175768.4
320578.3
Blue260
416972.7
415171.4
417654.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2381950100300400500235260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3205
#10
78.30.3
78.078.3
Auto8.3
Teleop27.0
End43.0
red by 5.6
4169
#31
72.71.6
69.971.5
Auto7.4
Teleop33.0
End32.3
Second
5752
#27
74.20.3
73.974.2
Auto5.1
Teleop29.2
End39.9
red by 2.8
71.41.4
68.970.3
Auto9.1
Teleop26.8
End35.5
Third
68.40.3
68.068.4
Auto7.4
Teleop30.0
End31.0
red by 13.9
4176
#19
54.51.4
52.053.4
Auto11.6
Teleop39.6
End3.2