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Red285
556342.1
2168102.8
8886.8
Blue235
183179.0
620177.5
495468.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2072420100300400500285235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102.81.9
92.894.6
Auto7.6
Teleop55.4
End39.8
red by 23.9
1831
#17
79.00.2
78.779.0
Auto6.9
Teleop42.7
End29.4
Second
88
#16
86.81.9
76.778.6
Auto6.6
Teleop31.3
End49.0
red by 9.3
77.50.3
77.377.5
Auto9.4
Teleop44.1
End24.0
Third
5563
#36
42.11.9
32.033.9
Auto6.2
Teleop24.5
End11.5
blue by 26.3
4954
#13
68.30.3
68.168.3
Auto3.3
Teleop33.4
End31.7