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Red265
575274.2
175768.4
320578.3
Blue305
416972.7
415171.4
417654.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2361850100300400265305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3205
#10
78.31.1
76.978.0
Auto8.3
Teleop27.0
End43.0
red by 5.6
4169
#31
72.73.0
66.969.9
Auto7.4
Teleop33.0
End32.3
Second
5752
#27
74.21.1
72.873.9
Auto5.1
Teleop29.2
End39.9
red by 2.8
71.42.7
66.268.9
Auto9.1
Teleop26.8
End35.5
Third
68.41.1
67.068.0
Auto7.4
Teleop30.0
End31.0
red by 13.9
4176
#19
54.52.7
49.252.0
Auto11.6
Teleop39.6
End3.2