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Red256
264870.7
15764.1
490882.7
Blue305
8886.8
2168102.8
556342.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions229220100150200250300350400256305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4908
#24
82.70.9
82.383.1
Auto6.3
Teleop37.5
End38.8
blue by 20.2
102.82.1
95.797.8
Auto7.6
Teleop55.4
End39.8
Second
2648
#18
70.70.9
70.371.2
Auto5.4
Teleop39.4
End25.9
blue by 16.1
88
#16
86.82.1
79.781.8
Auto6.6
Teleop31.3
End49.0
Third
157
#11
64.10.9
63.764.6
Auto8.9
Teleop26.0
End29.2
red by 22.0
5563
#36
42.12.1
34.937.0
Auto6.2
Teleop24.5
End11.5