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Red255
511258.1
34890.7
78105.7
Blue321
490882.7
15764.1
264870.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2792000100400500255321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#4
105.70.0
105.7105.7
Auto10.4
Teleop51.0
End44.3
red by 23.0
4908
#24
82.72.7
77.179.8
Auto6.3
Teleop37.5
End38.8
Second
348
#1
90.70.0
90.790.7
Auto15.9
Teleop44.2
End30.5
red by 19.9
2648
#18
70.72.7
65.267.8
Auto5.4
Teleop39.4
End25.9
Third
5112
#14
58.10.0
58.158.1
Auto8.8
Teleop36.0
End13.3
blue by 6.1
157
#11
64.12.7
58.661.3
Auto8.9
Teleop26.0
End29.2