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Red222
264870.7
15764.1
490882.7
Blue330
8886.8
2168102.8
556342.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions231227150200250300350222330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4908
#24
82.70.5
83.182.7
Auto6.3
Teleop37.5
End38.8
blue by 20.2
102.82.0
97.899.7
Auto7.6
Teleop55.4
End39.8
Second
2648
#18
70.70.5
71.270.7
Auto5.4
Teleop39.4
End25.9
blue by 16.1
88
#16
86.82.0
81.883.7
Auto6.6
Teleop31.3
End49.0
Third
157
#11
64.10.5
64.664.1
Auto8.9
Teleop26.0
End29.2
red by 22.0
5563
#36
42.12.0
37.039.0
Auto6.2
Teleop24.5
End11.5