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Red395
555676.5
4761105.6
1071101.6
Blue387
31993.8
4906102.4
575295.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2953060100200400500600700395387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.60.3
104.6105.0
Auto13.9
Teleop49.3
End42.4
red by 3.1
102.40.5
101.6102.1
Auto7.6
Teleop42.3
End52.5
Second
1071
#12
101.60.3
100.7101.0
Auto16.2
Teleop48.8
End36.6
red by 6.1
5752
#15
95.50.5
94.795.3
Auto8.2
Teleop36.3
End51.1
Third
5556
#20
76.50.3
75.675.9
Auto4.4
Teleop37.8
End34.3
blue by 17.3
319
#14
93.80.5
93.093.5
Auto5.6
Teleop43.2
End45.0