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Red311
416998.4
172175.9
264896.4
Blue290
2084122.1
490996.7
545971.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2813100100200400500600700800311290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4169
#25
98.40.8
98.499.2
Auto9.9
Teleop35.8
End52.7
blue by 23.7
122.10.1
121.8121.7
Auto13.0
Teleop50.9
End58.2
Second
2648
#11
96.40.8
96.597.2
Auto8.0
Teleop45.7
End42.8
blue by 0.3
96.70.1
96.596.4
Auto7.7
Teleop34.6
End54.4
Third
75.90.8
76.076.7
Auto11.7
Teleop32.8
End31.4
red by 4.2
5459
#24
71.70.1
71.571.4
Auto5.5
Teleop42.1
End24.1