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Red245
199179.2
362395.5
237081.3
Blue264
135074.6
176882.5
24657.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions248225100200300400245264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95.50.3
87.287.5
Auto9.0
Teleop43.8
End42.7
red by 13.1
82.50.5
83.083.5
Auto6.3
Teleop44.1
End32.1
Second
2370
#21
81.30.3
72.973.2
Auto9.9
Teleop37.2
End34.2
red by 6.7
1350
#11
74.60.5
75.075.6
Auto6.3
Teleop32.3
End36.0
Third
1991
#12
79.20.3
70.971.2
Auto5.8
Teleop29.2
End44.2
red by 22.1
246
#29
57.10.5
57.658.1
Auto10.0
Teleop37.8
End9.3