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Red211
199179.2
362395.5
237081.3
Blue295
371972.6
234270.8
226270.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2572220100300400500211295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95.50.7
89.789.0
Auto9.0
Teleop43.8
End42.7
red by 22.9
72.60.5
73.472.9
Auto9.0
Teleop32.2
End31.4
Second
2370
#21
81.30.7
75.574.7
Auto9.9
Teleop37.2
End34.2
red by 10.5
70.80.5
71.571.1
Auto8.1
Teleop33.8
End28.9
Third
1991
#12
79.20.7
73.472.7
Auto5.8
Teleop29.2
End44.2
red by 8.8
2262
#31
70.50.5
71.270.7
Auto7.7
Teleop30.4
End32.4