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Red263
346659.9
490581.3
115380.2
Blue305
371972.6
234270.8
226270.5
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2292140100300400500263305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.31.1
79.480.4
Auto8.1
Teleop35.7
End37.5
red by 8.7
72.62.2
70.072.2
Auto9.0
Teleop32.2
End31.4
Second
1153
#20
80.21.1
78.279.3
Auto11.1
Teleop33.3
End35.8
red by 9.4
70.82.2
68.270.4
Auto8.1
Teleop33.8
End28.9
Third
3466
#22
59.91.1
58.059.0
Auto8.2
Teleop26.3
End25.5
blue by 10.5
2262
#31
70.52.2
67.970.1
Auto7.7
Teleop30.4
End32.4