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Red258
199179.2
362395.5
237081.3
Blue165
371972.6
234270.8
226270.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261223100300400500258165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95.50.4
90.791.1
Auto9.0
Teleop43.8
End42.7
red by 22.9
72.61.2
73.872.6
Auto9.0
Teleop32.2
End31.4
Second
2370
#21
81.30.4
76.576.8
Auto9.9
Teleop37.2
End34.2
red by 10.5
70.81.2
72.070.8
Auto8.1
Teleop33.8
End28.9
Third
1991
#12
79.20.4
74.474.8
Auto5.8
Teleop29.2
End44.2
red by 8.8
2262
#31
70.51.2
71.670.5
Auto7.7
Teleop30.4
End32.4