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Red185
115380.2
234270.8
498745.0
Blue90
378037.8
66363.4
226270.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134145010020030040050018590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
#20
80.25.4
59.765.1
Auto11.1
Teleop33.3
End35.8
red by 9.7
2262
#31
70.55.0
44.539.5
Auto7.7
Teleop30.4
End32.4
Second
70.85.4
42.447.8
Auto8.1
Teleop33.8
End28.9
red by 7.4
663
#14
63.45.0
62.157.1
Auto7.1
Teleop33.6
End22.6
Third
4987
#24
45.05.4
34.539.9
Auto7.7
Teleop32.1
End5.2
red by 7.2
3780
#37
37.85.0
28.323.3
Auto3.4
Teleop22.1
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed