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Red145
178678.3
237081.3
135074.6
Blue217
404170.5
127759.7
323670.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2061440100300400145217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2370
#21
81.34.5
75.571.0
Auto9.9
Teleop37.2
End34.2
red by 10.8
70.55.3
47.853.1
Auto7.1
Teleop33.4
End30.0
Second
1786
#19
78.34.5
54.149.6
Auto9.2
Teleop25.7
End43.5
red by 8.0
70.35.3
44.049.4
Auto8.0
Teleop27.9
End34.4
Third
1350
#11
74.64.5
55.951.4
Auto6.3
Teleop32.3
End36.0
red by 14.9
1277
#30
59.75.3
52.457.7
Auto7.3
Teleop27.6
End24.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed