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Red140
44989.1
172772.0
338941.8
Blue215
88834.6
61477.6
237799.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2322250100200300400140215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#19
89.15.3
94.989.6
Auto8.5
Teleop41.7
End39.0
blue by 10.2
99.30.0
99.199.1
Auto13.2
Teleop43.6
End42.5
Second
1727
#21
72.05.3
77.672.3
Auto9.6
Teleop32.7
End29.8
blue by 5.6
614
#2
77.60.0
75.275.3
Auto5.9
Teleop30.4
End41.4
Third
3389
#23
41.85.3
47.141.8
Auto7.7
Teleop17.9
End16.2
red by 7.2
888
#10
34.60.0
40.340.3
Auto6.8
Teleop15.5
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed