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Red138
253456.0
68656.2
22594.2
Blue210
219968.2
62387.4
424277.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions257250150200300350138210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#11
94.210.2
104.394.2
Auto20.9
Teleop46.7
End26.5
red by 6.7
623
#1
87.42.1
88.686.5
Auto14.0
Teleop41.2
End32.3
Second
686
#12
56.210.2
66.456.2
Auto10.8
Teleop24.2
End21.3
blue by 20.9
4242
#13
77.12.1
79.277.1
Auto9.5
Teleop30.2
End37.4
Third
2534
#27
56.010.2
69.759.6
Auto8.8
Teleop31.5
End15.7
blue by 12.1
2199
#20
68.22.1
73.871.7
Auto9.9
Teleop30.5
End27.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
5%Rotor oddsMissed4%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
55%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed