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Red145
138965.2
533872.2
284959.2
Blue255
1885106.1
424292.4
10254.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1952730100300400500600145255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5338
#12
72.21.1
71.470.2
Auto7.1
Teleop32.7
End32.4
blue by 33.9
106.10.1
104.7104.9
Auto12.6
Teleop47.8
End45.6
Second
1389
#13
65.21.1
66.465.2
Auto5.0
Teleop23.9
End36.4
blue by 27.2
92.40.1
91.091.2
Auto10.9
Teleop37.1
End44.4
Third
2849
#16
59.21.3
58.357.0
Auto8.1
Teleop35.5
End15.6
red by 5.0
102
#29
54.20.1
52.853.0
Auto4.4
Teleop36.4
End13.5