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Red256
365040.7
533872.2
284959.2
Blue305
1885106.1
424292.4
10254.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1572800100200400500256305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5338
#12
72.22.0
70.272.2
Auto7.1
Teleop32.7
End32.4
blue by 33.9
106.11.2
104.9106.1
Auto12.6
Teleop47.8
End45.6
Second
2849
#16
59.22.2
57.059.2
Auto8.1
Teleop35.5
End15.6
blue by 33.2
92.41.2
91.292.4
Auto10.9
Teleop37.1
End44.4
Third
3650
#20
40.72.0
38.740.7
Auto7.1
Teleop28.8
End4.9
blue by 13.5
102
#29
54.21.2
53.054.2
Auto4.4
Teleop36.4
End13.5