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Red145
42255.2
451475.4
511576.5
Blue160
44954.5
446448.2
172766.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2281760100300400500600145160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.51.7
77.275.5
Auto9.5
Teleop35.4
End31.6
red by 10.1
1727
#28
66.40.3
68.167.8
Auto8.7
Teleop31.5
End26.2
Second
75.41.5
76.174.6
Auto6.6
Teleop30.2
End38.7
red by 21.0
449
#25
54.50.4
56.456.0
Auto6.2
Teleop24.9
End23.4
Third
422
#19
55.21.5
55.954.3
Auto5.6
Teleop21.6
End27.9
red by 7.0
48.20.3
49.949.6
Auto3.1
Teleop27.9
End17.1