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Red255
10254.2
424292.4
1885106.1
Blue210
111184.9
253789.7
171948.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266228100200300400500255210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
106.10.2
104.3104.5
Auto12.6
Teleop47.8
End45.6
red by 16.4
89.70.3
89.289.0
Auto10.6
Teleop36.8
End42.3
Second
92.40.2
90.690.8
Auto10.9
Teleop37.1
End44.4
red by 7.6
1111
#17
84.90.3
84.584.2
Auto7.6
Teleop42.6
End34.7
Third
102
#29
54.20.2
52.452.6
Auto4.4
Teleop36.4
End13.5
red by 6.2
1719
#24
48.10.3
47.747.4
Auto7.4
Teleop23.1
End17.6