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Red195
42255.2
451475.4
511576.5
Blue115
44954.5
446448.2
172766.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2221760100300400500600195115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.50.2
75.575.3
Auto9.5
Teleop35.4
End31.6
red by 10.1
1727
#28
66.41.4
67.866.4
Auto8.7
Teleop31.5
End26.2
Second
75.40.2
74.674.4
Auto6.6
Teleop30.2
End38.7
red by 21.0
449
#25
54.51.6
56.054.5
Auto6.2
Teleop24.9
End23.4
Third
422
#19
55.20.2
54.354.1
Auto5.6
Teleop21.6
End27.9
red by 7.0
48.21.4
49.648.2
Auto3.1
Teleop27.9
End17.1