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Red305
10254.2
424292.4
1885106.1
Blue250
291264.7
394175.7
345562.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions259208100300400500305250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
106.11.5
101.5103.0
Auto12.6
Teleop47.8
End45.6
red by 30.4
3941
#10
75.71.0
76.277.2
Auto3.7
Teleop29.4
End42.6
Second
92.41.5
87.889.3
Auto10.9
Teleop37.1
End44.4
red by 27.7
2912
#11
64.70.9
65.266.1
Auto3.2
Teleop27.7
End33.9
Third
102
#29
54.21.5
49.651.1
Auto4.4
Teleop36.4
End13.5
blue by 8.3
3455
#18
62.50.9
63.063.9
Auto5.6
Teleop31.5
End25.4