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Red355
10254.2
424292.4
1885106.1
Blue145
291264.7
394175.7
345562.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264211100300400500600355145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
106.11.4
103.0104.3
Auto12.6
Teleop47.8
End45.6
red by 30.4
3941
#10
75.71.5
77.275.7
Auto3.7
Teleop29.4
End42.6
Second
92.41.4
89.390.6
Auto10.9
Teleop37.1
End44.4
red by 27.7
2912
#11
64.71.4
66.164.7
Auto3.2
Teleop27.7
End33.9
Third
102
#29
54.21.4
51.152.4
Auto4.4
Teleop36.4
End13.5
blue by 8.3
3455
#18
62.51.4
63.962.5
Auto5.6
Teleop31.5
End25.4