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Red190
171948.1
253789.7
111184.9
Blue215
61477.4
463863.2
291454.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2311960100300400500190215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
89.70.6
86.786.1
Auto10.6
Teleop36.8
End42.3
red by 12.3
614
#27
77.40.5
75.976.4
Auto6.5
Teleop32.8
End38.1
Second
1111
#17
84.90.5
82.181.6
Auto7.6
Teleop42.6
End34.7
red by 21.7
63.20.5
61.762.2
Auto12.6
Teleop37.8
End12.8
Third
1719
#24
48.10.5
45.344.8
Auto7.4
Teleop23.1
End17.6
blue by 6.3
2914
#14
54.40.5
52.853.4
Auto8.0
Teleop22.1
End24.3