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Red311
253492.9
511594.1
138984.9
Blue305
44972.7
623981.8
242172.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2902300100200400500600311305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.10.9
92.493.3
Auto12.4
Teleop35.2
End46.5
red by 12.2
81.80.6
81.782.4
Auto8.2
Teleop30.1
End43.5
Second
2534
#21
92.90.9
91.392.1
Auto11.1
Teleop43.6
End38.2
red by 20.2
449
#30
72.70.6
72.673.2
Auto10.6
Teleop35.5
End26.6
Third
1389
#13
84.90.9
83.284.1
Auto6.5
Teleop36.5
End41.9
red by 12.5
2421
#22
72.40.6
72.372.9
Auto9.8
Teleop33.0
End29.6