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Red285
374871.9
296478.9
112374.7
Blue255
447293.9
371453.2
450570.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions228226200220240260280285255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.91.5
75.677.2
Auto8.8
Teleop32.2
End37.9
blue by 14.9
93.90.9
93.093.9
Auto9.1
Teleop41.3
End43.5
Second
74.71.5
71.472.9
Auto6.8
Teleop40.5
End27.4
red by 4.6
4505
#16
70.00.9
69.170.0
Auto11.9
Teleop33.8
End24.3
Third
3748
#15
71.91.5
68.670.1
Auto8.0
Teleop38.6
End25.2
red by 18.7
53.20.9
52.353.2
Auto6.7
Teleop24.2
End22.3