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Red205
374871.9
296478.9
112374.7
Blue255
447293.9
371453.2
450570.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions229222100150200250300350205255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.90.3
75.975.6
Auto8.8
Teleop32.2
End37.9
blue by 14.9
93.91.0
92.093.0
Auto9.1
Teleop41.3
End43.5
Second
74.70.3
71.671.4
Auto6.8
Teleop40.5
End27.4
red by 4.6
4505
#16
70.01.0
68.269.1
Auto11.9
Teleop33.8
End24.3
Third
3748
#15
71.90.3
68.868.6
Auto8.0
Teleop38.6
End25.2
red by 18.7
53.21.0
51.452.3
Auto6.7
Teleop24.2
End22.3