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Red260
374871.9
296478.9
112374.7
Blue165
447293.9
371453.2
450570.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions227226180200220240260260165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.90.4
75.575.9
Auto8.8
Teleop32.2
End37.9
blue by 14.9
93.91.1
93.192.0
Auto9.1
Teleop41.3
End43.5
Second
74.70.4
71.271.6
Auto6.8
Teleop40.5
End27.4
red by 4.6
4505
#16
70.01.1
69.368.2
Auto11.9
Teleop33.8
End24.3
Third
3748
#15
71.90.4
68.468.8
Auto8.0
Teleop38.6
End25.2
red by 18.7
53.21.1
52.551.4
Auto6.7
Teleop24.2
End22.3