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Red220
594584.2
446461.3
632663.1
Blue285
138984.9
511594.1
253492.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2092840100400500600220285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5945
#28
84.20.2
84.184.2
Auto6.4
Teleop34.8
End43.0
blue by 9.9
94.10.6
89.890.4
Auto12.4
Teleop35.2
End46.5
Second
6326
#25
63.10.2
63.063.1
Auto9.2
Teleop30.3
End23.6
blue by 29.8
2534
#21
92.90.6
88.789.2
Auto11.1
Teleop43.6
End38.2
Third
61.30.2
61.261.3
Auto5.1
Teleop23.2
End33.0
blue by 23.6
1389
#13
84.90.6
80.681.2
Auto6.5
Teleop36.5
End41.9