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Red330
242172.4
623981.8
44972.7
Blue240
112374.7
296478.9
374871.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions231228150200250300350330240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.82.0
77.979.9
Auto8.2
Teleop30.1
End43.5
red by 2.9
78.90.3
77.277.5
Auto8.8
Teleop32.2
End37.9
Second
449
#30
72.72.0
68.770.7
Auto10.6
Teleop35.5
End26.6
blue by 2.0
74.70.3
72.973.3
Auto6.8
Teleop40.5
End27.4
Third
2421
#22
72.42.0
68.470.4
Auto9.8
Teleop33.0
End29.6
red by 0.6
3748
#15
71.90.3
70.170.5
Auto8.0
Teleop38.6
End25.2