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Red305
237779.6
172791.7
68670.6
Blue290
138984.9
511594.1
253492.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24328004006008001,0001,200305290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1727
#12
91.71.6
89.491.0
Auto12.5
Teleop37.1
End42.1
blue by 2.4
94.10.1
90.490.5
Auto12.4
Teleop35.2
End46.5
Second
2377
#23
79.61.6
77.478.9
Auto11.9
Teleop41.0
End26.7
blue by 13.3
2534
#21
92.90.1
89.289.3
Auto11.1
Teleop43.6
End38.2
Third
686
#20
70.61.6
68.469.9
Auto9.3
Teleop37.5
End23.8
blue by 14.3
1389
#13
84.90.1
81.281.3
Auto6.5
Teleop36.5
End41.9