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Red250
218670.0
558792.9
61996.0
Blue306
68670.6
172791.7
237779.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2802370100200400500600700250306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
619
#5
96.00.2
96.296.0
Auto7.5
Teleop37.6
End50.9
red by 4.3
1727
#12
91.71.7
87.889.4
Auto12.5
Teleop37.1
End42.1
Second
92.90.2
93.292.9
Auto9.8
Teleop32.6
End50.5
red by 13.3
2377
#23
79.61.7
75.777.4
Auto11.9
Teleop41.0
End26.7
Third
2186
#17
70.00.2
70.270.0
Auto7.1
Teleop40.0
End22.9
blue by 0.6
686
#20
70.61.7
66.768.4
Auto9.3
Teleop37.5
End23.8