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Red256
237779.6
172791.7
68670.6
Blue306
138984.9
511594.1
253492.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24928005001,0001,5002,000256306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1727
#12
91.70.4
91.091.4
Auto12.5
Teleop37.1
End42.1
blue by 2.4
94.11.0
90.591.5
Auto12.4
Teleop35.2
End46.5
Second
2377
#23
79.60.4
78.979.3
Auto11.9
Teleop41.0
End26.7
blue by 13.3
2534
#21
92.91.0
89.390.3
Auto11.1
Teleop43.6
End38.2
Third
686
#20
70.60.4
69.970.3
Auto9.3
Teleop37.5
End23.8
blue by 14.3
1389
#13
84.91.0
81.382.3
Auto6.5
Teleop36.5
End41.9