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Red265
88851.1
533893.1
594572.0
Blue255
11690.0
61497.9
291266.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2072780100400500600265255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93.11.3
89.991.2
Auto14.5
Teleop37.6
End41.0
blue by 4.8
614
#7
97.90.0
97.997.9
Auto10.0
Teleop38.5
End49.4
Second
5945
#17
72.01.3
68.770.0
Auto8.8
Teleop28.2
End35.0
blue by 18.1
116
#8
90.00.0
90.090.0
Auto10.6
Teleop40.9
End38.5
Third
888
#15
51.11.3
47.849.1
Auto7.0
Teleop26.2
End17.9
blue by 15.3
2912
#22
66.40.0
66.466.4
Auto5.0
Teleop30.9
End30.5