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Red330
284966.8
219976.2
141898.3
Blue399
463887.7
83693.0
658463.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2432510100200300400500600700800330399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1418
#12
98.31.6
95.196.7
Auto9.0
Teleop42.3
End47.0
red by 5.3
836
#3
93.01.4
90.692.0
Auto4.5
Teleop46.0
End42.5
Second
76.21.6
73.074.6
Auto11.4
Teleop27.5
End37.3
blue by 11.5
87.71.4
85.386.7
Auto12.2
Teleop45.2
End30.3
Third
2849
#21
66.81.6
63.665.2
Auto8.0
Teleop39.2
End19.5
red by 3.6
6584
#20
63.21.4
60.862.2
Auto7.2
Teleop34.9
End21.1