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Red300
284966.8
219976.2
141898.3
Blue286
463887.7
83693.0
658463.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2482550100200300400500600700300286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1418
#12
98.31.4
96.798.1
Auto9.0
Teleop42.3
End47.0
red by 5.3
836
#3
93.01.0
92.093.0
Auto4.5
Teleop46.0
End42.5
Second
76.21.4
74.676.0
Auto11.4
Teleop27.5
End37.3
blue by 11.5
87.71.0
86.787.7
Auto12.2
Teleop45.2
End30.3
Third
2849
#21
66.81.4
65.266.6
Auto8.0
Teleop39.2
End19.5
red by 3.6
6584
#20
63.21.0
62.263.2
Auto7.2
Teleop34.9
End21.1