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Red355
284966.8
219976.2
141898.3
Blue140
454171.8
379386.6
61156.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233232150200250300350355140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1418
#12
98.31.9
91.593.3
Auto9.0
Teleop42.3
End47.0
red by 11.7
3793
#11
86.61.8
88.486.6
Auto9.0
Teleop42.8
End34.8
Second
76.21.9
69.471.3
Auto11.4
Teleop27.5
End37.3
red by 4.4
4541
#18
71.81.8
73.671.8
Auto6.3
Teleop30.3
End35.3
Third
2849
#21
66.81.9
59.961.8
Auto8.0
Teleop39.2
End19.5
red by 10.5
611
#14
56.31.8
58.156.3
Auto7.1
Teleop27.1
End22.1