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Red445
615362.1
348121.6
5687119.7
Blue449
5897.8
405595.2
66389.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3282840100200400500600700445449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
348
#2
121.61.0
120.6121.6
Auto17.4
Teleop52.4
End51.9
red by 23.8
58
#18
97.81.6
95.396.9
Auto9.6
Teleop42.4
End45.8
Second
5687
#10
119.71.0
118.8119.7
Auto14.0
Teleop61.6
End44.1
red by 24.6
4055
#12
95.21.6
92.694.3
Auto8.7
Teleop38.8
End47.6
Third
6153
#30
62.11.0
61.162.1
Auto9.9
Teleop30.9
End21.2
blue by 27.6
663
#23
89.61.6
87.188.7
Auto9.1
Teleop40.3
End40.2