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Red297
550675.9
633787.5
133104.6
Blue286
454670.9
2523104.0
492573.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2842540100200400500600700297286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#9
104.60.7
103.6104.3
Auto12.7
Teleop53.1
End38.8
red by 0.5
104.00.9
102.8103.7
Auto11.2
Teleop43.8
End49.1
Second
87.50.7
86.587.2
Auto9.8
Teleop33.3
End44.3
red by 13.7
4925
#15
73.70.9
72.573.4
Auto7.6
Teleop31.3
End34.9
Third
5506
#24
75.90.7
75.075.7
Auto1.7
Teleop34.6
End39.6
red by 5.1
4546
#11
70.90.9
69.670.5
Auto6.2
Teleop27.8
End36.9