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Red238
405595.2
393064.6
16656.8
Blue240
633787.5
5897.8
616157.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions204205150250300238240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4055
#12
95.22.7
77.880.5
Auto8.7
Teleop38.8
End47.6
blue by 2.6
58
#18
97.81.5
86.988.4
Auto9.6
Teleop42.4
End45.8
Second
3930
#27
64.62.7
71.774.4
Auto7.3
Teleop21.8
End35.4
blue by 22.9
87.51.5
56.558.0
Auto9.8
Teleop33.3
End44.3
Third
166
#16
56.82.7
47.850.6
Auto6.9
Teleop32.6
End17.3
blue by 1.0
6161
#35
57.91.5
49.350.7
Auto4.7
Teleop30.1
End23.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed