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Red250
348121.6
550675.9
669175.7
Blue285
492573.7
454670.9
66389.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions269176100200300400500250285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
348
#2
121.60.5
102.9103.4
Auto17.4
Teleop52.4
End51.9
red by 32.0
663
#23
89.67.1
64.371.4
Auto9.1
Teleop40.3
End40.2
Second
5506
#24
75.90.5
60.360.8
Auto1.7
Teleop34.6
End39.6
red by 2.2
4925
#15
73.77.1
54.261.3
Auto7.6
Teleop31.3
End34.9
Third
6691
#36
75.70.5
79.580.0
Auto7.6
Teleop39.0
End29.0
red by 4.8
4546
#11
70.97.1
60.667.7
Auto6.2
Teleop27.8
End36.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed