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Red310
655648.5
506794.1
2611111.0
Blue285
6878.1
366884.1
332286.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions260259230240250270280290300310310285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111.01.3
108.9110.2
Auto9.8
Teleop47.5
End53.7
red by 24.8
3322
#28
86.10.9
85.386.1
Auto11.5
Teleop41.1
End33.6
Second
94.11.3
92.093.3
Auto12.8
Teleop39.2
End42.0
red by 10.0
3668
#13
84.10.9
83.284.1
Auto9.8
Teleop34.6
End39.7
Third
6556
#33
48.51.6
45.947.5
Auto5.8
Teleop30.0
End12.7
blue by 29.7
68
#23
78.10.9
77.378.1
Auto1.1
Teleop39.8
End37.2