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Red255
655648.5
506794.1
2611111.0
Blue307
505384.8
6101103.5
506684.7
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264286100200400500600255307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111.00.0
111.0111.0
Auto9.8
Teleop47.5
End53.7
red by 7.5
103.50.9
102.2103.0
Auto6.0
Teleop45.6
End51.8
Second
94.10.0
94.094.1
Auto12.8
Teleop39.2
End42.0
red by 9.3
5053
#11
84.80.9
83.384.3
Auto15.8
Teleop39.3
End29.7
Third
6556
#33
48.50.0
48.448.5
Auto5.8
Teleop30.0
End12.7
blue by 36.2
5066
#19
84.70.9
83.284.1
Auto6.6
Teleop32.3
End45.8