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Red334
506684.7
6101103.5
505384.8
Blue305
309885.9
1023121.7
570860.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions280276200250300350334305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103.51.0
100.2101.3
Auto6.0
Teleop45.6
End51.8
blue by 18.2
121.70.9
120.8121.7
Auto16.7
Teleop44.4
End60.6
Second
5053
#11
84.81.1
81.282.3
Auto15.8
Teleop39.3
End29.7
blue by 1.1
85.90.9
85.085.9
Auto8.4
Teleop41.6
End35.8
Third
5066
#19
84.71.1
81.082.2
Auto6.6
Teleop32.3
End45.8
red by 23.9
5708
#17
60.80.9
59.960.8
Auto6.3
Teleop33.7
End20.8